ES&T Online News: The evidence linking hurricanes and climate change Interview with Judith CurryWhat we looked at was the global data set that is available from 1970 through 2004, and it’s a satellite-based data set, so we’re able to look at every single tropical storm and hurricane. And what we looked at was the frequency, intensity, and number of hurricane days for each ocean basin where they have hurricanes.We looked concurrently at the sea surface temperature over that same period for each ocean basin. What we find—again, the increase of tropical sea surface temperature in these regions is well known—is that there was an increase in the frequency, almost a doubling, of the most intense hurricanes—the category 4s and 5s. And a similar increase in the number of hurricane days.
Curry's paper (Webster, et al.): Changes in Tropical Cyclone Number, Duration, and Intensity in a Warming Environment
Trenberth's paper: Uncertainty in Hurricanes and Global Warming
Emanuel's paper: Increasing Destructiveness of Tropical Cyclones Over the Past 30 YearsReal Climate: Hurricanes and Global Warming - Is There a Connection?Thus, we can conclude that both a natural cycle (the AMO) and anthropogenic forcing could have made roughly equally large contributions to the warming of the tropical Atlantic over the past decades, with an exact attribution impossible so far. The observed warming is likely the result of a combined effect: data strongly suggest that the AMO has been in a warming phase for the past two or three decades, and we also know that at the same time anthropogenic global warming is ongoing.LA Times: Managing the next disaster
By Roger A. Pielke Jr. and Daniel SarewitzThe implications are clear: More storms like Katrina are inevitable. And the effects of future Katrinas and Ritas will be determined not by our efforts to manage changes in the climate but by the decisions we make now about where and how to build and rebuild in vulnerable locations.
Pielke's paper: Hurricanes and Global Warming...it is reasonable to conclude that the significance of any connection of human caused climate change to hurricane impacts necessarily has been and will continue to be exceedingly small.
American Meteorological Society’s Environmental Science Seminar Series
Past seminar's are listed on the left, two are on hurricane's and climate change. One, remarkably, is from June and on hurricanes and New Orleans
. Pretty crazy.Is Katrina a Harbinger of Still More Powerful Hurricanes?Mounting evidence suggests that tropical cyclones around the world are intensifying,perhaps driven by greenhouse warming,but humans still have themselves to blame for rising damage
It appears as though Science as lifted the wall for all their research, reviews, and articles on climate change and hurricanes
. Kudos to Science.